From the Nobel Prize-winning author of Thinking, Fast and Slow and the coauthor of Nudge, Noise: A Flaw in Human Judgment is a revolutionary exploration of why people make bad judgments and how to make better ones. Imagine that two doctors in the same city give different diagnoses to identical patients, or that two judges in the same courthouse give markedly different sentences to people who have committed the same crime. Suppose that different interviewers at the same firm make different decisions about indistinguishable job applicants, or that when a company is handling customer complaints, the resolution depends on who happens to answer the phone. Now imagine that the same doctor, the same judge, the same interviewer, or the same customer service agent makes different decisions depending on whether it is morning or afternoon, or Monday rather than Wednesday. These are examples of noise: variability in judgments that should be identical.

In Noise, Daniel Kahneman, Olivier Sibony, and Cass R. Sunstein show the detrimental effects of noise in many fields, including medicine, law, economic forecasting, forensic science, bail, child protection, strategy, performance reviews, and personnel selection. Wherever there is judgment, there is noise. Yet, most of the time, individuals and organizations alike are unaware of it. They neglect noise. With a few simple remedies, people can reduce both noise and bias, and so make far better decisions.

Packed with original ideas, and offering the same kinds of research-based insights that made Thinking, Fast and Slow and Nudge groundbreaking New York Times bestsellers, Noise explains how and why humans are so susceptible to noise in judgment—and what we can do about it.

Death's End, the third installment of the Remembrance of Earth's Past series, marks the thrilling conclusion to Cixin Liu's highly acclaimed near-future science fiction saga. This epic narrative, which has captured the imagination of readers worldwide, is soon to be adapted into a Netflix Original Series.

Set half a century after the Doomsday Battle, the story unfolds in a future where the principle of Dark Forest Deterrence has maintained a fragile peace, keeping the Trisolaran invaders at bay. The Earth basks in prosperity, enriched by Trisolaran knowledge, leading to rapid advancements in human science and a cultural exchange that suggests the two civilizations might finally coexist without the looming threat of annihilation.

However, this era of peace has rendered humanity complacent. Enter Cheng Xin, an aerospace engineer from the early 21st century, who emerges from hibernation into this newfound utopia. Her reawakening and the knowledge she carries of a long-forgotten program from the dawn of the Trisolar Crisis could destabilize the delicate equilibrium between Earth and the Trisolarans.

As the narrative explores the complexities of interstellar politics and the human condition, readers are left to wonder: Will humanity seize the opportunity to expand to the stars, or will it succumb to a premature end?